Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000063 0.000066 0.000069 0.000072 0.000076 0.000080 0.000084
2025-03-09 0.000056 0.000060 0.000065 0.000070 0.000076 0.000082 0.000090
2025-03-16 0.000053 0.000058 0.000063 0.000070 0.000077 0.000086 0.000097
2025-03-23 0.000051 0.000057 0.000063 0.000071 0.000080 0.000091 0.000105
2025-03-30 0.000049 0.000055 0.000061 0.000070 0.000080 0.000093 0.000110
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000052 0.000059 0.000068 0.000079 0.000092 0.000111
2025-04-13 0.000043 0.000049 0.000056 0.000065 0.000076 0.000091 0.000110
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000046 0.000053 0.000062 0.000074 0.000089 0.000110
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000073 0.000089 0.000111
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000075 0.000092 0.000118
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000077 0.000096 0.000124
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000102 0.000136
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000079 0.000102 0.000138
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000041 0.000050 0.000061 0.000078 0.000101 0.000140
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000061 0.000079 0.000104 0.000146
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000081 0.000109 0.000157
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000061 0.000081 0.000110 0.000161
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000079 0.000108 0.000160
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000057 0.000076 0.000105 0.000157
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000055 0.000074 0.000102 0.000154
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000054 0.000072 0.000101 0.000155
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000055 0.000074 0.000105 0.000165
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000055 0.000076 0.000109 0.000174